Oh, I just saw your post Quil. No worries, this is fine. It really didn’t take me long at all to type this up, so I can probably do more and complete this faster than I initially thought. I just had other non-game stuff I needed to finish up earlier, so I couldn’t get to it straight away. But thanks for the suggestion! (Guess you don’t need to know the trait for each dragon bred. I can change it to 't' for consistency if you prefer. Just did it this way because it was faster to type.)
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(Earlier I said I didn’t breed Ambrosia, but I meant Faire. For some reason I always confuse those two. Maybe because they have similar colours, although they look nothing alike.)
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Level 92 Rift aligned to cold mountain earth trait level 10, poison fire trait level 10 Pepper T 3 Glacier 1 t/ 2 n Tree T 2 Soot 2T Arctic T Tumblethorn T 2 Permafrost 1 T / 1 n
Total Normal: 138 50.18% Total Opposites: 21 7.64% Total Golden: 109 39.64% Total Epic: 7 2.55% Total: 275 Non Rift: 65 23.99% Rainbows: Total Normal: 10 2.51% Total Opposites: 53 13.28% Total Rifts: 12 3.01% Total Golden: 259 64.91% Total Epic: 65 16.29% Total: 399 Non Rift: 98 25.32%
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Here are the numbers for the BeB test from adlerist so far: Total Normal: 1 1.39% Total Opposites: 10 13.89% Total Rifts: 2 2.78% Total Golden: 35 48.61% Total Epic: 15 20.83% Total BeB 9 12.50% Total: 72 Non Rift: 25 35.71% The numbers are still low with 72 results and there are still quite a few to input to average things out. I'm guessing the non rift number at 35 percent is just an anomaly with the large number of non rifts in the first day's batch. I still need to go back and recreate the entire possible list of dragons from that date in time, it shouldn't be too hard as I have most of the dragons and history loaded in my own database and I just need to go regen that one, and then update the sheet. I'll get a link and more details once we get more data and the list is created, right now I just lumped everything under BeB and newer dragons from 2019 will obviously be at 0 percent and skew some analysis.
The most interesting thing is the Golden Hybrids dropping from 65 percent to the 48 percent range. If the scaling of the percentages is working as I expect, this would make sense and helps prove the theory. The idea is that a golden hybrid may normally be around 5 percent, when the result sets are small. When doing our big R/DR test, the result sets are way above 100 percent if the hybrids stay at 5, so they scale down based on having 191 possible results (192 now with drifter, which I need to add!). It looks like it was scaling down from 5 to slightly over 1 percent.
Now adding R/DR, there are 294 results today. Most of the new ones added will likely be much smaller percentages than the hybrids at roughly 5 (probably closer to 1-2 percent), so while the hybrids should be lower, they won't be half at 32.5 percent. Until I load all the data from this BeB test and the historical dragons with the percentage guesses, I can't confirm but it seems reasonable to see the 48 percent, somewhere halfway between.
Hey, thanks for compiling this, Quil! I’ll add some more results today. The dragon types change in the upcoming days if I recall correctly. I breed a lot more limited dragons, which compels me to increase the number of daily breeding attempts to 14.
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Well, look who’s back! Chromy has been resurrected with all this Chroma-talk, and just in time to mess with everyone’s hard work and daily data.
Chromy has brought some friends: Coal, Berry, Bone, Gift, Leaf, Seed, and Sprout. All of whom, including Chromacorn, will add to the Rainbow + Double Rainbow outcomes. So you may want to consider temporarily suspending Rainbow + DR data gathering, particularly if the numbers for golden hybrids and limiteds are being assessed to compare their breeding odds against each other and/or against non-golden hybrids and non-limiteds.
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I think Sprout has been back a while, I've got several results with it already and it showed on my list. The others are 6 results out of 200 or so, and we're always going to have some new grouping of dragons back, like the Moon type dragons we've had for the past week. As long as they're tracked as limited and returning, I can work around the numbers and they won't have a major impact on the results unless we go into collecting 10s of thousands, as the margin of error is decently high at these current numbers.
(A terrific outing in the Rift inspires an increase in the number of breeds. Henceforth, 14 per day.)
Last Edit: May 24, 2019 16:33:16 GMT -6 by adlerist
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I think Sprout has been back a while, I've got several results with it already and it showed on my list. The others are 6 results out of 200 or so, and we're always going to have some new grouping of dragons back, like the Moon type dragons we've had for the past week. As long as they're tracked as limited and returning, I can work around the numbers and they won't have a major impact on the results unless we go into collecting 10s of thousands, as the margin of error is decently high at these current numbers.
If you’re adding allowances in the calculations to accommodate the limited dragons that have been added during the testing process, and changing the number of outcomes, there are now 11 additional dragons. This includes 3 from the Moon Collection and 8 from today’s evolve dragons (don’t forget Chromacorn). Sprout, which was set to depart, was renewed today with the rest of the evolve lot.
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I made a little mistake here. Not with the testing, I alway multi-check that, making sure it is absolutely right. In the last two posts I accidentally swapped the traits of the dragons, they have been the same from the beginning, I never changed them in-game. I just simply reversed them while writing the posts, sorry about that.
Level 94 Rift aligned to water mountain earth trait level 10, poison fire trait level 10 Obsidian 1T/1N Coal T Conifer T Forest 1T/1N Mountain T Permafrost T Glacier T Poison T Lava T Arctic T
Last Edit: May 25, 2019 16:41:41 GMT -6 by adlerist
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Plasma 1 Traited Solar Eclipse 1 T Drifter 1 Normal Soot 1 T Char 1 T Fever 1 T Tidepool 1 T Ragnarok 1 N Silver 1 T Sprite 1 T Candescent 1 T Bubble 1 N
Level 94 Rift aligned to air mountain earth trait level 10, poison fire trait level 10 Gift N Coal T Obsidian T Mountain 1T/1N Bone T Poison T Glacier T Flower T
(In all the excitement of unicorn madness, I accidentally bred Rainbow + DR 15 times.)
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